daily prop · Boston, MA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Wed Oct 21

Boston runs hot-for-here: 72°F+ · Wed Oct 21

2¢

american +6269 · decimal 63.69

on the tape

72°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 72°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		28¢
aifs		10¢
wn2		4¢
eps		3¢
hres		1¢
nbm		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

50–51°F3¢

52–53°F22¢

54–55°F44¢

56–57°F25¢

58–59°F4¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,410 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.692 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOS-20261021-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-10-14T10:31:59+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape