— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
91¢
icon
83¢
hres
80¢
aifs
72¢
nbm
67¢
eps
56¢
ndfd
54¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
54–55°F2¢
56–57°F5¢
58–59°F13¢
60–61°F21¢
62–63°F24¢
64–65°F19¢
66–67°F10¢
68–69°F4¢
70–71°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,361 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.86.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOS-20261022-TMAX-GE57 · opened 2026-10-15T11:39:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape