— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
98¢
wn2
85¢
aifs
80¢
hres
76¢
nbm
56¢
ndfd
55¢
eps
39¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
52–53°F1¢
54–55°F3¢
56–57°F9¢
58–59°F18¢
60–61°F23¢
62–63°F22¢
64–65°F14¢
66–67°F6¢
68–69°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,361 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.86.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOS-20261022-TMAX-GE59 · opened 2026-10-19T04:30:08+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape