— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
82¢
wn2
82¢
aifs
61¢
nbm
59¢
icon
56¢
ndfd
54¢
hres
40¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
48–49°F2¢
50–51°F6¢
52–53°F15¢
54–55°F24¢
56–57°F25¢
58–59°F18¢
60–61°F8¢
62–63°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,312 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.165 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOS-20261023-TMAX-GE55 · opened 2026-10-18T15:41:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape