— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
54¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
44¢
wn2
41¢
hres
30¢
aifs
27¢
eps
14¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
48–49°F2¢
50–51°F8¢
52–53°F17¢
54–55°F24¢
56–57°F24¢
58–59°F15¢
60–61°F6¢
62–63°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,312 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.165 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOS-20261023-TMAX-GE59 · opened 2026-10-16T14:19:36+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape