— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
35¢
wn2
33¢
aifs
20¢
hres
5¢
ndfd
2¢
eps
1¢
nbm
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
52–53°F1¢
54–55°F3¢
56–57°F6¢
58–59°F12¢
60–61°F16¢
62–63°F19¢
64–65°F17¢
66–67°F13¢
68–69°F7¢
70–71°F4¢
72–73°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,214 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.858 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOS-20261025-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-18T11:48:07+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape