daily prop · Buffalo, NY · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

Buffalo stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 48°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 47

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

48°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 48°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 1¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		62¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
hres		51¢
aifs		37¢
wn2		30¢
icon		28¢
eps		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBUF-20261017-TMAX-LE48 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:42+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:05:03+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape