daily prop · Baltimore, MD · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 26

Baltimore high ≥ 71°F · Mon Oct 26

60¢

american -149 · decimal 1.67

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		87¢
icon		82¢
aifs		72¢
ndfd		53¢
hres		52¢
nbm		44¢
eps		29¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F2¢

64–65°F4¢

66–67°F9¢

68–69°F15¢

70–71°F19¢

72–73°F19¢

74–75°F15¢

76–77°F9¢

78–79°F4¢

80–81°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBWI-20261026-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-20T04:51:10+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape