— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
67¢
eps
55¢
nbm
55¢
icon
34¢
hres
32¢
aifs
24¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F3¢
70–71°F10¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F29¢
76–77°F22¢
78–79°F10¢
80–81°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KCHS-20261022-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-15T07:49:17+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape