daily prop · Charleston, SC · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 22

Charleston runs hot-for-here: 84°F+ · Thu Oct 22

2¢

american +5108 · decimal 52.08

on the tape

84°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		37¢
aifs		27¢
wn2		16¢
ndfd		7¢
hres		3¢
nbm		2¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F2¢

70–71°F8¢

72–73°F22¢

74–75°F32¢

76–77°F24¢

78–79°F9¢

80–81°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,512 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.688 vs climatology 8.841.

Receipts

prop id WP-KCHS-20261022-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-15T07:49:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape