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daily prop · Cleveland, OH · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Cleveland high ≥ 55°F · Sat Oct 17

NO
settled · observed 52
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 55°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0210/1110/17 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 98¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
73¢
ndfd
55¢
icon
47¢
nbm
33¢
wn2
27¢
aifs
24¢
hres
20¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KCLE-20261017-TMAX-GE55 · opened 2026-10-10T22:27:38+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:05:25+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape