daily prop · Cleveland, OH · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Cleveland stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 49°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 52

whiplash on the tape

49°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 49°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		36¢
icon		30¢
rrfs		21¢
aifs		17¢
nbm		13¢
wn2		6¢
ndfd		5¢
eps		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KCLE-20261017-TMAX-LE49 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:40+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:05:26+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape