daily prop · Cleveland, OH · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Cleveland high ≥ 64°F · Mon Oct 19

70¢

american -232 · decimal 1.43

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		89¢
wn2		88¢
eps		72¢
hrrr		70¢
nbm		59¢
rrfs		58¢
ndfd		56¢
hres		53¢
icon		38¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F1¢

62–63°F14¢

64–65°F50¢

66–67°F32¢

68–69°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KCLE-20261019-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape