daily prop · Cleveland, OH · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 26

Cleveland runs hot-for-here: 73°F+ · Mon Oct 26

17¢

american +487 · decimal 5.87

on the tape

73°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		33¢
aifs		31¢
hres		29¢
icon		29¢
ndfd		22¢
nbm		11¢
eps		9¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F3¢

62–63°F7¢

64–65°F12¢

66–67°F17¢

68–69°F19¢

70–71°F17¢

72–73°F12¢

74–75°F7¢

76–77°F3¢

78–79°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KCLE-20261026-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape