— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
78¢
wn2
61¢
ndfd
56¢
nbm
41¢
eps
36¢
rrfs
30¢
hres
29¢
icon
29¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F1¢
72–73°F7¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F30¢
78–79°F26¢
80–81°F12¢
82–83°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KCLT-20261020-TMAX-GE75 · opened None · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape