— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
26¢
icon
21¢
wn2
20¢
ndfd
3¢
hres
2¢
nbm
0¢
eps
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F7¢
70–71°F21¢
72–73°F32¢
74–75°F26¢
76–77°F10¢
78–79°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,561 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.512 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KCLT-20261021-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape