daily prop · Charlotte, NC · Southeast · settles Sat Oct 24

Charlotte runs hot-for-here: 80°F+ · Sat Oct 24

2¢

american +6189 · decimal 62.89

on the tape

80°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		7¢
nbm		7¢
icon		4¢
aifs		2¢
eps		2¢
hres		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F4¢

62–63°F10¢

64–65°F17¢

66–67°F23¢

68–69°F21¢

70–71°F14¢

72–73°F7¢

74–75°F2¢

76–77°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KCLT-20261024-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape