daily prop · Columbus, OH · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Thu Oct 22

Columbus runs hot-for-here: 76°F+ · Thu Oct 22

2¢

american +6035 · decimal 61.35

on the tape

76°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 76°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		16¢
aifs		13¢
wn2		12¢
hres		4¢
icon		3¢
nbm		1¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F4¢

66–67°F15¢

68–69°F27¢

70–71°F29¢

72–73°F17¢

74–75°F6¢

76–77°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KCMH-20261022-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-15T07:49:52+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape