daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Fri Sep 25

Washington high ≥ 66°F · Fri Sep 25

YES

settled · observed 76

golden 15d out on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop went golden 15.2 days before settlement.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		99¢
icon		98¢
eps		93¢
wn2		92¢
hres		76¢
ndfd		55¢
nbm		54¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20260925-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-09-20T15:18:41+00:00 · settled 2026-09-26T13:45:18+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape