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daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

Washington high ≥ 57°F · Sat Oct 17

YES
settled · observed 62
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 57°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0210/1210/17 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
icon
100¢
aifs
97¢
eps
96¢
wn2
93¢
hres
93¢
ndfd
55¢
nbm
44¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261017-TMAX-GE57 · opened 2026-10-12T04:01:00+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:05:59+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape