daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

Washington high ≥ 62°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 62

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 2¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		83¢
icon		59¢
ndfd		53¢
wn2		53¢
nbm		47¢
hres		39¢
aifs		37¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261017-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-10T22:26:40+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:00+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape