daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

Washington stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 58°F · Mon Oct 19

4¢

american +2725 · decimal 28.25

on the tape

58°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 58°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		45¢
ndfd		44¢
eps		41¢
icon		4¢
hres		3¢
rrfs		1¢
aifs		1¢
wn2		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261019-TMAX-LE58 · opened 2026-10-15T07:48:55+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape