daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Washington high ≥ 68°F · Tue Oct 20

82¢

american -459 · decimal 1.22

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		99¢
aifs		94¢
nbm		75¢
icon		66¢
hres		62¢
rrfs		60¢
ndfd		56¢
eps		51¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

66–67°F2¢

68–69°F22¢

70–71°F52¢

72–73°F22¢

74–75°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261020-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-14T15:12:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape