daily prop · Washington, DC · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Washington high ≥ 71°F · Tue Oct 20

62¢

american -165 · decimal 1.61

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		88¢
wn2		85¢
nbm		67¢
now		62¢
hrrr		60¢
ndfd		59¢
rrfs		41¢
icon		39¢
hres		29¢
eps		19¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

66–67°F2¢

68–69°F24¢

70–71°F52¢

72–73°F20¢

74–75°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDCA-20261020-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-20T04:51:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape