— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
84¢
wn2
78¢
eps
76¢
nbm
55¢
aifs
49¢
hres
32¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F27¢
68–69°F42¢
70–71°F22¢
72–73°F4¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,512 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.688 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KDCA-20261022-TMAX-GE65 · opened 2026-10-15T11:39:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape