— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
93¢
aifs
87¢
icon
78¢
nbm
77¢
ndfd
54¢
eps
48¢
hres
40¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
56–57°F2¢
58–59°F6¢
60–61°F17¢
62–63°F27¢
64–65°F26¢
66–67°F16¢
68–69°F6¢
70–71°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,414 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.158 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KDCA-20261024-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-10-18T14:55:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape