daily prop · Denver, CO · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Sat Oct 17

Denver high ≥ 78°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 78

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		56¢
hres		50¢
nbm		41¢
rrfs		33¢
hrrr		22¢
eps		21¢
aifs		20¢
icon		13¢
wn2		7¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDEN-20261017-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-16T15:05:42+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:08+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape