— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
75¢
eps
71¢
nbm
68¢
wn2
63¢
hres
60¢
rrfs
58¢
ndfd
56¢
icon
18¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F2¢
66–67°F6¢
68–69°F13¢
70–71°F22¢
72–73°F24¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F10¢
78–79°F4¢
80–81°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,153 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.883.
Receipts
prop id WP-KDEN-20261018-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-11T11:20:10+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape