daily prop · Denver, CO · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Sun Oct 18

Denver runs hot-for-here: 79°F+ · Sun Oct 18

2¢

american +4286 · decimal 43.86

on the tape

79°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 79°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		22¢
aifs		20¢
wn2		12¢
hres		10¢
ndfd		5¢
rrfs		5¢
icon		2¢
nbm		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F2¢

66–67°F6¢

68–69°F14¢

70–71°F22¢

72–73°F24¢

74–75°F18¢

76–77°F9¢

78–79°F3¢

80–81°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,153 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.883.

Receipts

prop id WP-KDEN-20261018-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape