daily prop · Denver, CO · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 20

Denver runs hot-for-here: 79°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +6436 · decimal 65.36

on the tape

79°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 79°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		23¢
hres		7¢
ndfd		5¢
aifs		4¢
wn2		3¢
icon		2¢
eps		2¢
nbm		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F0¢

66–67°F4¢

68–69°F14¢

70–71°F27¢

72–73°F30¢

74–75°F18¢

76–77°F6¢

78–79°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KDEN-20261020-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:10+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape