daily prop · Dallas, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17

Dallas high ≥ 64°F · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 66

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 3¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		100¢
hrrr		86¢
aifs		75¢
nbm		75¢
hres		70¢
wn2		58¢
ndfd		56¢
rrfs		35¢
icon		34¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDFW-20261017-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-16T15:05:37+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:12+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape