daily prop · Dallas, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sun Oct 18

Dallas stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 66°F · Sun Oct 18

3¢

american +3222 · decimal 33.22

on the tape

66°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		40¢
hres		26¢
aifs		15¢
rrfs		11¢
wn2		9¢
ndfd		2¢
nbm		1¢
hrrr		0¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F2¢

66–67°F6¢

68–69°F15¢

70–71°F23¢

72–73°F25¢

74–75°F18¢

76–77°F8¢

78–79°F3¢

80–81°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,153 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.883.

Receipts

prop id WP-KDFW-20261018-TMAX-LE66 · opened 2026-10-14T10:33:52+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape