daily prop · Dallas, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Dallas high ≥ 77°F · Mon Oct 19

55¢

american -121 · decimal 1.83

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		85¢
eps		80¢
ndfd		59¢
hres		46¢
aifs		44¢
wn2		39¢
hrrr		39¢
icon		17¢
rrfs		14¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

72–73°F1¢

74–75°F10¢

76–77°F37¢

78–79°F39¢

80–81°F12¢

82–83°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDFW-20261019-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-15T16:20:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape