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daily prop · Dallas, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Dallas high ≥ 80°F · Mon Oct 19

25¢
american +301 · decimal 4.01
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1310/19 00:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
67¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
29¢
hres
27¢
icon
20¢
aifs
20¢
wn2
3¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F10¢
76–77°F37¢
78–79°F39¢
80–81°F12¢
82–83°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDFW-20261019-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape