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daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Des Moines freezes: low ≤ 32°F · Sat Oct 17

NO
settled · observed 34
whiplash on the tape
Settles on the official low temperature.
Canonical settlement condition: Low ≤ 32°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0210/1510/17 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 88¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
78¢
icon
64¢
wn2
43¢
hres
19¢
eps
4¢
ndfd
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261017-TMIN-LE32 · opened 2026-10-14T10:33:20+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:25+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape