daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Des Moines high ≥ 66°F · Mon Oct 19

70¢

american -232 · decimal 1.43

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hrrr		98¢
aifs		91¢
rrfs		89¢
wn2		86¢
eps		60¢
nbm		59¢
hres		56¢
ndfd		56¢
icon		39¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F0¢

64–65°F7¢

66–67°F33¢

68–69°F42¢

70–71°F16¢

72–73°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261019-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-17T04:41:48+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape