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daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Des Moines high ≥ 69°F · Mon Oct 19

36¢
american +180 · decimal 2.8
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 69°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1310/19 00:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
64¢
ndfd
54¢
wn2
45¢
nbm
41¢
hres
27¢
eps
24¢
icon
14¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F0¢
64–65°F7¢
66–67°F33¢
68–69°F42¢
70–71°F16¢
72–73°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261019-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:23+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape