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daily prop · Des Moines, IA · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Des Moines high ≥ 75°F · Tue Oct 20

23¢
american +341 · decimal 4.41
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
icon
55¢
ndfd
53¢
aifs
43¢
wn2
29¢
hres
26¢
nbm
24¢
eps
3¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F17¢
70–71°F46¢
72–73°F30¢
74–75°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDSM-20261020-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-14T02:59:48+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape