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daily prop · Detroit, MI · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Sun Oct 18

Detroit high ≥ 59°F · Sun Oct 18

YES
settled · observed 64
longshot hit whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 59°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0310/1210/18 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 1¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
94¢
aifs
88¢
hres
82¢
eps
69¢
icon
66¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
53¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KDTW-20261018-TMAX-GE59 · opened 2026-10-12T15:27:19+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:38:55+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape