daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sun Oct 18

Newark stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 55°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 60

whiplash on the tape

55°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 55°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 94¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		28¢
hres		23¢
rrfs		20¢
eps		14¢
nbm		6¢
aifs		5¢
wn2		1¢
ndfd		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261018-TMAX-LE55 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:02+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:39:05+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape