daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

Newark high ≥ 59°F · Mon Oct 19

97¢

american -3645 · decimal 1.03

★ golden on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 59°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		100¢
aifs		98¢
rrfs		96¢
eps		94¢
icon		94¢
hres		91¢
nbm		86¢
ndfd		56¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261019-TMAX-GE59 · opened 2026-10-17T04:40:49+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape