daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

Newark high ≥ 64°F · Mon Oct 19

66¢

american -192 · decimal 1.52

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		90¢
aifs		83¢
hrrr		70¢
hres		60¢
eps		58¢
ndfd		56¢
rrfs		46¢
nbm		44¢
icon		30¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F4¢

62–63°F24¢

64–65°F44¢

66–67°F24¢

68–69°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261019-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-12T11:35:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape