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daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Newark high ≥ 64°F · Tue Oct 20

94¢
american -1497 · decimal 1.07
★ golden on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
100¢
aifs
98¢
eps
88¢
nbm
85¢
icon
80¢
hres
75¢
ndfd
55¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F28¢
68–69°F46¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261020-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-17T04:40:50+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape