daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Newark high ≥ 69°F · Tue Oct 20

62¢

american -165 · decimal 1.61

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 69°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		90¢
wn2		86¢
nbm		67¢
ndfd		59¢
hrrr		45¢
now		44¢
rrfs		35¢
icon		31¢
hres		23¢
eps		22¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F4¢

66–67°F28¢

68–69°F46¢

70–71°F19¢

72–73°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261020-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-20T04:03:23+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape