daily prop · Newark, NJ · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Newark runs hot-for-here: 76°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +4015 · decimal 41.15

on the tape

76°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 76°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		32¢
aifs		28¢
icon		18¢
hres		6¢
eps		1¢
nbm		0¢
ndfd		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F4¢

66–67°F28¢

68–69°F46¢

70–71°F19¢

72–73°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KEWR-20261020-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:30+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape