WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17

Houston high ≥ 83°F · Sat Oct 17

NO
settled · observed 74
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0210/1010/17 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
92¢
hres
82¢
nbm
52¢
icon
14¢
wn2
2¢
aifs
2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261017-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-10-10T22:27:48+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:43+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape