WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17

Houston high ≥ 84°F · Sat Oct 17

NO
settled · observed 74
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0210/1110/17 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
79¢
hres
74¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
36¢
icon
12¢
aifs
1¢
wn2
1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261017-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-11T04:30:51+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:44+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape