daily prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17

Houston stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 71°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 74

whiplash on the tape

71°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 97¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		75¢
wn2		66¢
aifs		63¢
hrrr		61¢
ndfd		59¢
rrfs		58¢
hres		57¢
nbm		23¢
eps		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KIAH-20261017-TMAX-LE71 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:56+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:47+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape