week prop · Houston, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sat Oct 17
Houston touches 100°F sometime this week
NO
settled · observed 96
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Sun Oct 11
0¢
Mon Oct 12
0¢
Tue Oct 13
0¢
Wed Oct 14
1¢
Thu Oct 15
1¢
Fri Oct 16
0¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KIAH-20261017-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-10-10T22:27:50+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:06:48+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape