— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
88¢
eps
74¢
aifs
70¢
icon
65¢
nbm
52¢
wn2
49¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F6¢
72–73°F19¢
74–75°F31¢
76–77°F28¢
78–79°F12¢
80–81°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,355 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.517 vs climatology 8.865.
Receipts
prop id WP-KIAH-20261018-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape